Fay update for 8/18
Fay has just finished crossing Cuba and is a 60 mph tropical storm with pressure of 1002 mB. It is expected to keep strengthening, but not rapidly, and although the forecast track changes just about every update, right now most likely it will make landfall in Port Charlotte (landfall location of Charley), although it could be anywhere from the Everglades at midnight tonight all the way to St. George's Island on Wednesday afternoon. Everyone on Florida's west coast to St. George's should be on guard, and everyone on the Atlantic from Jupiter Inlet up to Cape Lookout, North Carolina should be on guard.
Tropical Storm Warnings currently are in effect for Lee, Collier & Monroe Counties on the West, and Palm Beach, Broward & Miami-Dade Counties on the right.
Tropical Storm Watches on the east have been extended up to Sebastian Inlet, so this area now includes Indian River, Saint Lucie and Martin Counties on the Treasure Coast.
in Georgia, Tropical Event Statments have been posted all the way to Turner and Worth Counties, which is only 160 miles from my house. Atlanta REALLY needs the rain from this, but I'm afraid it might head between Augusta and Columbia, which would most likely keep us high and dry.
Some evacuations are currently in place, including those in trailers in Sarasota County and the Keys, visitors to the Keys (hence why there are no tolls on the Florida's Turnpike Extension up to the regular Florida's Turnpike), and those in Collier County west of Tamiami Trail (US 41), which includes my grandparent's house.
UPDATE: Although the storm hasn't changed in intensity or pressure, a new Hurricane Warning has been posted for mainland Monroe, Collier, Lee, Charlotte, Sarasota & Manatee Counties. The Tropical Storm Warning is to the right of that, including Miami-Dade, Broward & Palm Beach, but also now extended to Indian River, Saint Lucie, Martin and southern Brevard Counties. The Watch has been extended all the way to the Georgia line, which includes northern Brevard, Volusia, Flager, Saint Johns, Duval and Nassau Counties. This means it will affect almost the entire Florida peninsula at one point or another. The storm track is looking more and more like it might miss Atlanta completely, and it may even reemerge in the Atlantic and then threaten the Carolinas.
The latest track has it hitting somewhere between Cape Sable in the Everglades this afternoon all the way to Saint Marks by Wednesday morning, and if it emerges in the Atlantic, that would happen between Port Saint Lucie Tuesday afternoon up to Charleston Thursday morning. Information is a bit limited because the National Hurricane Center website has crashed.
Links to follow include NBC 2 in SW Florida, NBC 6 in Miami/the Keys, and TBO in the Tampa Bay area.
5 PM UPDATE: The Tropical Storm Warnings have been extended all the way up from Anna Maria Island to Tarpon Springs (basically Tampa Bay metro), and have been extended up to Flager Beach, meaning northern Brevard & Volusia are now under a Warning (basically Daytona). The Hurricane Watch has been cancelled for the Keys, and for the south coast of Miami-Dade (although there have been tornado watches through the day, and a possible one is now near Homestead, site of the Andrew landfall in 1992).
The Storm is currently stalled between Key West and the Dry Tortugas after making landfall just after 3 PM on Key West proper.
The newest storm track keeps shifting to the East and she may not have time to reach Hurricane status before making landfall near Marco Island (near midnight) most probably (although it looks certain to at least be a very strong Tropical Storm). Landfall could be as far east as the Collier/Monroe line all the way to the Franklin/Wakulla line in the Big Bend.
The track after it crosses the peninsula is anyone's guess, and most are saying it can go anywhere from making a landfall at the Georgia/South Carolina border near Savannah to crossing back over the Florida peninsula and hitting New Orleans. Who knows!?
NBC 2 out of Fort Myers is streaming live if you're interested.
Also, there is another something that could be Gustav forming in the Atlantic. Although it's very unreliable, the early model runs have it pointed towards Miami.
9 PM UPDATE: The storm is currently just north of Key West and just west of the southern coast of mainland Florida. Landfall is still expected this evening as a strong TS/weak Cat 1, probably in Charlotte County. The path now takes it out to the Atlantic around Jacksonville, but back on land somewhere on the southern coast of Georgia. Atlanta should then (hopefully) get Fay as a depression on Saturday afternoon/Sunday which would greatly help our drought, assuming the winds aren't too bad.
Tropical Storm Warnings currently are in effect for Lee, Collier & Monroe Counties on the West, and Palm Beach, Broward & Miami-Dade Counties on the right.
Tropical Storm Watches on the east have been extended up to Sebastian Inlet, so this area now includes Indian River, Saint Lucie and Martin Counties on the Treasure Coast.
in Georgia, Tropical Event Statments have been posted all the way to Turner and Worth Counties, which is only 160 miles from my house. Atlanta REALLY needs the rain from this, but I'm afraid it might head between Augusta and Columbia, which would most likely keep us high and dry.
Some evacuations are currently in place, including those in trailers in Sarasota County and the Keys, visitors to the Keys (hence why there are no tolls on the Florida's Turnpike Extension up to the regular Florida's Turnpike), and those in Collier County west of Tamiami Trail (US 41), which includes my grandparent's house.
UPDATE: Although the storm hasn't changed in intensity or pressure, a new Hurricane Warning has been posted for mainland Monroe, Collier, Lee, Charlotte, Sarasota & Manatee Counties. The Tropical Storm Warning is to the right of that, including Miami-Dade, Broward & Palm Beach, but also now extended to Indian River, Saint Lucie, Martin and southern Brevard Counties. The Watch has been extended all the way to the Georgia line, which includes northern Brevard, Volusia, Flager, Saint Johns, Duval and Nassau Counties. This means it will affect almost the entire Florida peninsula at one point or another. The storm track is looking more and more like it might miss Atlanta completely, and it may even reemerge in the Atlantic and then threaten the Carolinas.
The latest track has it hitting somewhere between Cape Sable in the Everglades this afternoon all the way to Saint Marks by Wednesday morning, and if it emerges in the Atlantic, that would happen between Port Saint Lucie Tuesday afternoon up to Charleston Thursday morning. Information is a bit limited because the National Hurricane Center website has crashed.
Links to follow include NBC 2 in SW Florida, NBC 6 in Miami/the Keys, and TBO in the Tampa Bay area.
5 PM UPDATE: The Tropical Storm Warnings have been extended all the way up from Anna Maria Island to Tarpon Springs (basically Tampa Bay metro), and have been extended up to Flager Beach, meaning northern Brevard & Volusia are now under a Warning (basically Daytona). The Hurricane Watch has been cancelled for the Keys, and for the south coast of Miami-Dade (although there have been tornado watches through the day, and a possible one is now near Homestead, site of the Andrew landfall in 1992).
The Storm is currently stalled between Key West and the Dry Tortugas after making landfall just after 3 PM on Key West proper.
The newest storm track keeps shifting to the East and she may not have time to reach Hurricane status before making landfall near Marco Island (near midnight) most probably (although it looks certain to at least be a very strong Tropical Storm). Landfall could be as far east as the Collier/Monroe line all the way to the Franklin/Wakulla line in the Big Bend.
The track after it crosses the peninsula is anyone's guess, and most are saying it can go anywhere from making a landfall at the Georgia/South Carolina border near Savannah to crossing back over the Florida peninsula and hitting New Orleans. Who knows!?
NBC 2 out of Fort Myers is streaming live if you're interested.
Also, there is another something that could be Gustav forming in the Atlantic. Although it's very unreliable, the early model runs have it pointed towards Miami.
9 PM UPDATE: The storm is currently just north of Key West and just west of the southern coast of mainland Florida. Landfall is still expected this evening as a strong TS/weak Cat 1, probably in Charlotte County. The path now takes it out to the Atlantic around Jacksonville, but back on land somewhere on the southern coast of Georgia. Atlanta should then (hopefully) get Fay as a depression on Saturday afternoon/Sunday which would greatly help our drought, assuming the winds aren't too bad.
Labels: Atlanta, Drought, Hurricanes
posted by Hurricanes and Zip Codes | 6:03 AM
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